The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't

Interesting read and non-fictional style of data analysis and predictions.

This book provides an excellent introduction to the world of forecasting and many different statistical concepts that are important to it. Every chapter uses different real world example from a different field (from earthquakes to poker) to explain a statistical concept in a way that is easy to understand but nonetheless fascinating. Usually an expert in that field is quoted and often visual examples are given. The use of these examples allows the reader to learn understand the concepts more easily but it also provides a fascinating insight into different real world uses of forecasting and statistics.Most books about statistics are not easy to read or understand, but this one is. And it still contains a lot of knowledge. One of the best books I've ever read.

Es un libro entretenido, hace visibles las desviaciones en las perspectivas que tenemos a futuro. En algunas áreas prácticamente "volamos a ciegas".

記載通りの美品。

Must read for data folks.

It is a great book, wrote in a simple and fun language, with a lot of tips. I liked it a lot, and I suggest to read it to everyone who is interested to this kind of work. also, he shows us how the "most famous speaker", usually, say a lot of lies, if you take attention.